I just hope it will not be as wet as last winter, the fields can't cope and we are all fed up of horses knee deep in the mud.
Memories from winter 2012/2013
First heavy snow arrived in January:
It all melted away in February 2013...
To make room for even more heavy snow in March 2013:
The bridle path ....
Winter
2014/2015 consists of December 2014, January 2015 and February 2015. It
should be noted that while winter officially ends on the 28th February
2015, wintry conditions can continue to occur well into March which is
officially a spring month.
WINTER 13/14 REVIEW: To help compare this winter’s forecast to that of the actual conditions of last winter, the following information will be of use; Last winter had a mean UK temperature of +5.2°C which is +1.5°C above the average in what was an very mild winter period. Rainfall totals were equally impressive in terms of being significantly above average with extensive flooding across parts of England and Wales. The winter period was dominating by a relentless amount of North Atlantic low pressures and storm systems that brought exceptionally wet and windy conditions to many areas over many weeks. Frost, ice, snow and wintry conditions in general were all frequently absent through the winter.
FORECAST PRODUCTION: When looking at the potential weather through the coming winter period there are a number of meteorological and climatological variables that are studied. It isn’t possible to discuss them all here, but some of the variables analysed include; El Nino (ENSO) and general sea temperature patterns, but particularly within the North Atlantic, snow cover over Eurasia through this current autumn period, the state of the QBO and stratospheric conditions plus other variables and indicators.
THE FORECAST: Combining the above information and other information studied, the preliminary forecast for the winter is; for temperatures to be below average and for rainfall to be below average.
Temperatures: Below average (between 0.5°C and 1.0°C below average)
Rainfall: Below average (50mm to 100mm below average).
FORECAST SUMMARY: There are some distinct signs and signals that the forth coming winter will be a potential opposite to that of what was experienced during last winter. There are a lot of factors that point towards the coming winter producing far less stormy conditions and more in the way of ‘blocking patterns’. These blocking patterns are what are often required through the winter to bring cold weather to the UK and at the moment a colder and drier than average winter is preferred.
DECEMBER: Cold weather is expected to develop at times through December, perhaps more significantly so during the middle and latter half of the month when cold weather may well coincide with the Christmas and New Year period. Temperatures, overall, are likely to be near to average through December.
JANUARY: A potentially cold month is possible with a greater frequency of cold weather developing, despite some milder and wetter intervals as well. Snow and wintry conditions may well be widespread at times and at the moment temperatures are forecast to be slightly below average.
FEBRUARY: Another potentially colder than average month is possible during February. As is always possible across the UK during winter some milder interludes are possible at times. However, the bias is towards February producing more in the way of colder and drier conditions than compared with average in what could be a particularly cold end to winter.
Chief Forecaster: MH – www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk
- See more at: http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk/uk-winter-201415-weather-forecast-predictions/#sthash.LX4XsXkX.dpuf
WINTER 13/14 REVIEW: To help compare this winter’s forecast to that of the actual conditions of last winter, the following information will be of use; Last winter had a mean UK temperature of +5.2°C which is +1.5°C above the average in what was an very mild winter period. Rainfall totals were equally impressive in terms of being significantly above average with extensive flooding across parts of England and Wales. The winter period was dominating by a relentless amount of North Atlantic low pressures and storm systems that brought exceptionally wet and windy conditions to many areas over many weeks. Frost, ice, snow and wintry conditions in general were all frequently absent through the winter.
FORECAST PRODUCTION: When looking at the potential weather through the coming winter period there are a number of meteorological and climatological variables that are studied. It isn’t possible to discuss them all here, but some of the variables analysed include; El Nino (ENSO) and general sea temperature patterns, but particularly within the North Atlantic, snow cover over Eurasia through this current autumn period, the state of the QBO and stratospheric conditions plus other variables and indicators.
THE FORECAST: Combining the above information and other information studied, the preliminary forecast for the winter is; for temperatures to be below average and for rainfall to be below average.
Temperatures: Below average (between 0.5°C and 1.0°C below average)
Rainfall: Below average (50mm to 100mm below average).
FORECAST SUMMARY: There are some distinct signs and signals that the forth coming winter will be a potential opposite to that of what was experienced during last winter. There are a lot of factors that point towards the coming winter producing far less stormy conditions and more in the way of ‘blocking patterns’. These blocking patterns are what are often required through the winter to bring cold weather to the UK and at the moment a colder and drier than average winter is preferred.
DECEMBER: Cold weather is expected to develop at times through December, perhaps more significantly so during the middle and latter half of the month when cold weather may well coincide with the Christmas and New Year period. Temperatures, overall, are likely to be near to average through December.
JANUARY: A potentially cold month is possible with a greater frequency of cold weather developing, despite some milder and wetter intervals as well. Snow and wintry conditions may well be widespread at times and at the moment temperatures are forecast to be slightly below average.
FEBRUARY: Another potentially colder than average month is possible during February. As is always possible across the UK during winter some milder interludes are possible at times. However, the bias is towards February producing more in the way of colder and drier conditions than compared with average in what could be a particularly cold end to winter.
Chief Forecaster: MH – www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk
- See more at: http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk/uk-winter-201415-weather-forecast-predictions/#sthash.LX4XsXkX.dpuf
Winter
2014/2015 consists of December 2014, January 2015 and February 2015. It
should be noted that while winter officially ends on the 28th February
2015, wintry conditions can continue to occur well into March which is
officially a spring month.
WINTER 13/14 REVIEW: To help compare this winter’s forecast to that of the actual conditions of last winter, the following information will be of use; Last winter had a mean UK temperature of +5.2°C which is +1.5°C above the average in what was an very mild winter period. Rainfall totals were equally impressive in terms of being significantly above average with extensive flooding across parts of England and Wales. The winter period was dominating by a relentless amount of North Atlantic low pressures and storm systems that brought exceptionally wet and windy conditions to many areas over many weeks. Frost, ice, snow and wintry conditions in general were all frequently absent through the winter.
FORECAST PRODUCTION: When looking at the potential weather through the coming winter period there are a number of meteorological and climatological variables that are studied. It isn’t possible to discuss them all here, but some of the variables analysed include; El Nino (ENSO) and general sea temperature patterns, but particularly within the North Atlantic, snow cover over Eurasia through this current autumn period, the state of the QBO and stratospheric conditions plus other variables and indicators.
THE FORECAST: Combining the above information and other information studied, the preliminary forecast for the winter is; for temperatures to be below average and for rainfall to be below average.
Temperatures: Below average (between 0.5°C and 1.0°C below average)
Rainfall: Below average (50mm to 100mm below average).
FORECAST SUMMARY: There are some distinct signs and signals that the forth coming winter will be a potential opposite to that of what was experienced during last winter. There are a lot of factors that point towards the coming winter producing far less stormy conditions and more in the way of ‘blocking patterns’. These blocking patterns are what are often required through the winter to bring cold weather to the UK and at the moment a colder and drier than average winter is preferred.
DECEMBER: Cold weather is expected to develop at times through December, perhaps more significantly so during the middle and latter half of the month when cold weather may well coincide with the Christmas and New Year period. Temperatures, overall, are likely to be near to average through December.
JANUARY: A potentially cold month is possible with a greater frequency of cold weather developing, despite some milder and wetter intervals as well. Snow and wintry conditions may well be widespread at times and at the moment temperatures are forecast to be slightly below average.
FEBRUARY: Another potentially colder than average month is possible during February. As is always possible across the UK during winter some milder interludes are possible at times. However, the bias is towards February producing more in the way of colder and drier conditions than compared with average in what could be a particularly cold end to winter.
Chief Forecaster: MH – www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk
- See more at: http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk/uk-winter-201415-weather-forecast-predictions/#sthash.LX4XsXkX.dpuf
WINTER 13/14 REVIEW: To help compare this winter’s forecast to that of the actual conditions of last winter, the following information will be of use; Last winter had a mean UK temperature of +5.2°C which is +1.5°C above the average in what was an very mild winter period. Rainfall totals were equally impressive in terms of being significantly above average with extensive flooding across parts of England and Wales. The winter period was dominating by a relentless amount of North Atlantic low pressures and storm systems that brought exceptionally wet and windy conditions to many areas over many weeks. Frost, ice, snow and wintry conditions in general were all frequently absent through the winter.
FORECAST PRODUCTION: When looking at the potential weather through the coming winter period there are a number of meteorological and climatological variables that are studied. It isn’t possible to discuss them all here, but some of the variables analysed include; El Nino (ENSO) and general sea temperature patterns, but particularly within the North Atlantic, snow cover over Eurasia through this current autumn period, the state of the QBO and stratospheric conditions plus other variables and indicators.
THE FORECAST: Combining the above information and other information studied, the preliminary forecast for the winter is; for temperatures to be below average and for rainfall to be below average.
Temperatures: Below average (between 0.5°C and 1.0°C below average)
Rainfall: Below average (50mm to 100mm below average).
FORECAST SUMMARY: There are some distinct signs and signals that the forth coming winter will be a potential opposite to that of what was experienced during last winter. There are a lot of factors that point towards the coming winter producing far less stormy conditions and more in the way of ‘blocking patterns’. These blocking patterns are what are often required through the winter to bring cold weather to the UK and at the moment a colder and drier than average winter is preferred.
DECEMBER: Cold weather is expected to develop at times through December, perhaps more significantly so during the middle and latter half of the month when cold weather may well coincide with the Christmas and New Year period. Temperatures, overall, are likely to be near to average through December.
JANUARY: A potentially cold month is possible with a greater frequency of cold weather developing, despite some milder and wetter intervals as well. Snow and wintry conditions may well be widespread at times and at the moment temperatures are forecast to be slightly below average.
FEBRUARY: Another potentially colder than average month is possible during February. As is always possible across the UK during winter some milder interludes are possible at times. However, the bias is towards February producing more in the way of colder and drier conditions than compared with average in what could be a particularly cold end to winter.
Chief Forecaster: MH – www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk
- See more at: http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk/uk-winter-201415-weather-forecast-predictions/#sthash.LX4XsXkX.dpuf
Winter
2014/2015 consists of December 2014, January 2015 and February 2015. It
should be noted that while winter officially ends on the 28th February
2015, wintry conditions can continue to occur well into March which is
officially a spring month.
WINTER 13/14 REVIEW: To help compare this winter’s forecast to that of the actual conditions of last winter, the following information will be of use; Last winter had a mean UK temperature of +5.2°C which is +1.5°C above the average in what was an very mild winter period. Rainfall totals were equally impressive in terms of being significantly above average with extensive flooding across parts of England and Wales. The winter period was dominating by a relentless amount of North Atlantic low pressures and storm systems that brought exceptionally wet and windy conditions to many areas over many weeks. Frost, ice, snow and wintry conditions in general were all frequently absent through the winter.
FORECAST PRODUCTION: When looking at the potential weather through the coming winter period there are a number of meteorological and climatological variables that are studied. It isn’t possible to discuss them all here, but some of the variables analysed include; El Nino (ENSO) and general sea temperature patterns, but particularly within the North Atlantic, snow cover over Eurasia through this current autumn period, the state of the QBO and stratospheric conditions plus other variables and indicators.
THE FORECAST: Combining the above information and other information studied, the preliminary forecast for the winter is; for temperatures to be below average and for rainfall to be below average.
Temperatures: Below average (between 0.5°C and 1.0°C below average)
Rainfall: Below average (50mm to 100mm below average).
FORECAST SUMMARY: There are some distinct signs and signals that the forth coming winter will be a potential opposite to that of what was experienced during last winter. There are a lot of factors that point towards the coming winter producing far less stormy conditions and more in the way of ‘blocking patterns’. These blocking patterns are what are often required through the winter to bring cold weather to the UK and at the moment a colder and drier than average winter is preferred.
DECEMBER: Cold weather is expected to develop at times through December, perhaps more significantly so during the middle and latter half of the month when cold weather may well coincide with the Christmas and New Year period. Temperatures, overall, are likely to be near to average through December.
JANUARY: A potentially cold month is possible with a greater frequency of cold weather developing, despite some milder and wetter intervals as well. Snow and wintry conditions may well be widespread at times and at the moment temperatures are forecast to be slightly below average.
FEBRUARY: Another potentially colder than average month is possible during February. As is always possible across the UK during winter some milder interludes are possible at times. However, the bias is towards February producing more in the way of colder and drier conditions than compared with average in what could be a particularly cold end to winter.
Chief Forecaster: MH – www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk
- See more at: http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk/uk-winter-201415-weather-forecast-predictions/#sthash.LX4XsXkX.dpuf
WINTER 13/14 REVIEW: To help compare this winter’s forecast to that of the actual conditions of last winter, the following information will be of use; Last winter had a mean UK temperature of +5.2°C which is +1.5°C above the average in what was an very mild winter period. Rainfall totals were equally impressive in terms of being significantly above average with extensive flooding across parts of England and Wales. The winter period was dominating by a relentless amount of North Atlantic low pressures and storm systems that brought exceptionally wet and windy conditions to many areas over many weeks. Frost, ice, snow and wintry conditions in general were all frequently absent through the winter.
FORECAST PRODUCTION: When looking at the potential weather through the coming winter period there are a number of meteorological and climatological variables that are studied. It isn’t possible to discuss them all here, but some of the variables analysed include; El Nino (ENSO) and general sea temperature patterns, but particularly within the North Atlantic, snow cover over Eurasia through this current autumn period, the state of the QBO and stratospheric conditions plus other variables and indicators.
THE FORECAST: Combining the above information and other information studied, the preliminary forecast for the winter is; for temperatures to be below average and for rainfall to be below average.
Temperatures: Below average (between 0.5°C and 1.0°C below average)
Rainfall: Below average (50mm to 100mm below average).
FORECAST SUMMARY: There are some distinct signs and signals that the forth coming winter will be a potential opposite to that of what was experienced during last winter. There are a lot of factors that point towards the coming winter producing far less stormy conditions and more in the way of ‘blocking patterns’. These blocking patterns are what are often required through the winter to bring cold weather to the UK and at the moment a colder and drier than average winter is preferred.
DECEMBER: Cold weather is expected to develop at times through December, perhaps more significantly so during the middle and latter half of the month when cold weather may well coincide with the Christmas and New Year period. Temperatures, overall, are likely to be near to average through December.
JANUARY: A potentially cold month is possible with a greater frequency of cold weather developing, despite some milder and wetter intervals as well. Snow and wintry conditions may well be widespread at times and at the moment temperatures are forecast to be slightly below average.
FEBRUARY: Another potentially colder than average month is possible during February. As is always possible across the UK during winter some milder interludes are possible at times. However, the bias is towards February producing more in the way of colder and drier conditions than compared with average in what could be a particularly cold end to winter.
Chief Forecaster: MH – www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk
- See more at: http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk/uk-winter-201415-weather-forecast-predictions/#sthash.LX4XsXkX.dpuf
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